Apple Stock Dips on Tariff Impact, Beats Estimates - ListenHub

Apple Stock Dips on Tariff Impact, Beats Estimates

May 2

Fromforbes

Apple's Q1 beats expectations, but Cook anticipates $900M tariff impact. Stock dips despite increased dividend & buyback. China sales decline amid tariff adjustments & legal woes.

Headline: Apple Stock Slips As Tim Cook Says He Expects $900 Million Q2 Tariff Hit
Key Fact: Apple CEO Tim Cook said the company expects President Donald Trump’s tariffs will cause a $900 million hit to the company’s bottom line during the second calendar quarter.
Financial Results:
- Revenue: $95.4 billion (analyst estimates of $94.4 billion)
- Earnings per share: $1.65 ($24.8 billion net income), forecasts of $1.62 EPS ($24.3 billion net income)
- Sales grew by 5% and profit jumped by 8% compared to 2024’s first quarter
- iPhone sales rose to $46.8 billion, better than forecasts of $46 billion.
- Sales in Greater China slipped to $16 billion, below projections of $17 billion
- Revenue in services division came in at $26.6 billion, just below estimates of $26.7 billion.
Stock Impact: Shares of Apple were down about 4% to $205 in after hours trading.
Shareholder Actions: The company announced it upped its quarterly cash dividend to $0.26 per share and its board approved a $100 billion share buyback program.
Tariff Relief: The White House lowered tariffs on Chinese smartphone imports from 145% to 20%, lowering Apple’s projected tariff profit hit from 29% to 5%, according to UBS.
China Dependence: Apple assembles about 90% of iPhones in China, and generated about 17% of its revenue last fiscal year from its Greater China reporting segment.
Analyst Prediction: Apple’s earnings report “will be an exercise in navigating policy minefields,” predicted Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett.
Epic Games Ruling: A federal judge ruled that Apple knowingly violated a court order prohibiting the Silicon Valley titan from collecting fees on purchases made outside of iOS apps. Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers said the company made “obvious lies” in court, holding the company in contempt.

Outline

Apple's Q1 beats expectations, but Cook anticipates $900M tariff impact. Stock dips despite increased dividend & buyback. China sales decline amid tariff adjustments & legal woes.

Headline: Apple Stock Slips As Tim Cook Says He Expects $900 Million Q2 Tariff Hit
Key Fact: Apple CEO Tim Cook said the company expects President Donald Trump’s tariffs will cause a $900 million hit to the company’s bottom line during the second calendar quarter.
Financial Results:
- Revenue: $95.4 billion (analyst estimates of $94.4 billion)
- Earnings per share: $1.65 ($24.8 billion net income), forecasts of $1.62 EPS ($24.3 billion net income)
- Sales grew by 5% and profit jumped by 8% compared to 2024’s first quarter
- iPhone sales rose to $46.8 billion, better than forecasts of $46 billion.
- Sales in Greater China slipped to $16 billion, below projections of $17 billion
- Revenue in services division came in at $26.6 billion, just below estimates of $26.7 billion.
Stock Impact: Shares of Apple were down about 4% to $205 in after hours trading.
Shareholder Actions: The company announced it upped its quarterly cash dividend to $0.26 per share and its board approved a $100 billion share buyback program.
Tariff Relief: The White House lowered tariffs on Chinese smartphone imports from 145% to 20%, lowering Apple’s projected tariff profit hit from 29% to 5%, according to UBS.
China Dependence: Apple assembles about 90% of iPhones in China, and generated about 17% of its revenue last fiscal year from its Greater China reporting segment.
Analyst Prediction: Apple’s earnings report “will be an exercise in navigating policy minefields,” predicted Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett.
Epic Games Ruling: A federal judge ruled that Apple knowingly violated a court order prohibiting the Silicon Valley titan from collecting fees on purchases made outside of iOS apps. Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers said the company made “obvious lies” in court, holding the company in contempt.

Script

Mia: So, Apple just had one of those days, huh? Like, mixed bag doesn't even cover it. Stock price dips because of tariff worries, but then BAM! They beat estimates. Can you unpack this for me? I'm especially confused about these tariffs. What's the deal?

Mars: Right, so picture this: Tim Cook basically told investors that Trump's tariffs on Chinese goods are gonna smack Apple with a $900 million hit in the next quarter. It's like, imagine you're driving to work and suddenly tolls are, like, ten times higher. Unexpected and definitely not fun.

Mia: Okay, $900 million sounds like a ton. But, like, in Apple money, is that a big deal?

Mars: It's all relative, right? Last quarter, Apple raked in, like, $95.4 billion in revenue – way more than the $94.4 billion Wall Street expected. And their profit was around $24.8 billion! So, $900 million is more like a pebble in a mountain of cash. Probably around one percent of their profit.

Mia: So why did the stock take a nosedive then? It fell almost 4% after hours. What gives?

Mars: Well, a couple of things. First, tariffs are just…scary. Investors hate uncertainty. Second, sales in China dipped a bit, and even their services sector – you know, App Store, iCloud – didn't quite hit the mark.

Mia: China, huh? I thought they were, like, Apple's golden goose. What's going on over there?

Mars: It's a mix of things. Local brands are getting stronger, the market's slowing down, and politically things are more complicated. Think about it, Apple makes most of their iPhones in China and gets a big chunk of their revenue from there. It's like relying on one farm for all your food. If that farm has a problem, you're in trouble.

Mia: Ah, I get it. So, what did Apple do to calm everyone down? Like, throw some money at the problem?

Mars: Exactly! They boosted their dividend and approved a massive share buyback. It's their way of saying, Hey, we're still loaded and we believe in the long game.

Mia: And I heard the White House eased up on some of those tariffs too, right?

Mars: Yeah, they dialed it back a bit on smartphone imports from China. UBS thinks that cuts Apple's tariff hit by a huge chunk. It's like going from hitting a brick wall to just a tiny speed bump. Still annoying, but not as bad.

Mia: Okay, so with less tariff pain and a revenue beat, shouldn't the stock be up? I mean, what else is going on?

Mars: The market's a weird beast. Sometimes it sells first and asks questions later. Plus, some analysts warned that Apple's next few quarters are going to be tricky. That kind of caution can freak investors out.

Mia: One more thing. I saw something about Epic Games and a court ruling. Does that factor in at all?

Mars: Definitely. A judge found Apple in contempt for collecting fees outside of their iOS apps and even called some of their statements lies. That's a separate headache that reminds everyone that Apple's still battling regulators and developers.

Mia: Right, got it. So, to sum it up: Tariffs are a pain, China's a bit shaky, and there are legal issues hanging around. Even though they beat expectations, the stock took a hit. Classic risk-reward rollercoaster, I guess. Thanks for sorting that out for me!

Mars: No problem! Always something going on in Apple-land.